Deadline Media, Get our free, urgent prediction updates and news, Golden Globes predictions (Film): Top 24 All Stars, Golden Globes Predictions (TV): Top 24 All Stars, SAG Awards TV Predictions: Top 24 All Star Users, Leaderboards: See All Past Prediction Accuracy Scores, Leaderboards: Best Prediction Accuracy Scores for Film, TV and Music Awards, Leaderboards; Best TV Show Predictions by Gold Derby Users, Find a User or Expert / Download Gold Derby’s Free, New App, ‘The Masked Dancer’ Predictions: Episode 7, ‘The Masked Dancer’ Predictions: Episode 6. 1995 — Massimo Troisi (“Il Postino”) lost Best Actor to Nicholas Cage (“Leaving Los Vegas”). 1955 — Nominated for “East of Eden,” he lost Best Actor to Ernest Borgnine (“Marty”). See our latest prediction champs. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? PREDICT NOW: Who will win ‘Rupaul’s Drag Race’? Here are my ranked 2021 Oscar predictions in Best Picture for December. You have to either go through a rigorous application process or be invited to join The Academy (almost every nominee gets an invite), and the organization itself is divided up into 17 specific branches. Nominees for each category are selected by votes from members of these specific branches. Interest and anticipation builds to a fevered pitch leading up to the Oscar telecast, when hundreds of millions of movie lovers tune in to watch the glamorous ceremony and learn who will receive the highest honors in filmmaking. In honor of Oscars 2020, we revisit the 15 youngest Oscar winners and nominees of all time: Tatum O'Neal, Haley Joel Osment, Jackie Cooper and more. Make YOUR predictions at Gold Derby: Win prizes! But beware: that kind of thinking often comes back to haunt you later. 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In other words, you have only fellow directors to blame for that Greta Gerwig snub, not the Academy at large. But then what happens to everyone’s second, third, fourth, and fifth place votes? Two won. PREDICT NOW: Who will win ‘The Masked Dancer’? -- a win? 'The Crown' rules SAG Awards nominations but who will win: Gillian Anderson, Olivia Colman or Emma…, Nicole Beharie ('Miss Juneteenth') on 'shocking' awards attention she's receiving [Complete Interview…, 16 Best Actress Oscar nominees or winners in musical biographic roles, including Renee Zellweger, Barbra…, Why 'Schitt's Creek' likely won't pull off another sweep at the Critics' Choice…, Adarsh Gourav delivers a 'sensational' performance in 'The White Tiger' and Independent Spirit Awards…, Can 'Homeland's' Claire Danes turn her surprising Critics' Choice comeback into a…. Thanks to everyone who responded with lots of spooky old award races to dig up now. Leaderboards: See who has best predictions at Gold Derby! Who do you predict and why? He lives in Tulsa, OK and likes pasta, 90s thrillers, and spending like 95% of his time with his dog Luna. Todd Phillips’ “Joker,” a comic-book origin story about Batman’s biggest foe, scored a leading 11 Oscar nominations for the 92nd Academy Awards, including best … The 92nd Academy Awards will be aired live on ABC on February 9th. Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Andra Day is trying to follow in the Oscar footsteps of Mary J. Blige, Lady Gaga and Cynthia Erivo. Film winner there went on to earn at least one Oscar nomination and the overwhelming majority end up as Best Picture nominees or winners. Oscar Experts Typing: Is Glenn Close closing in on a nomination and — gasp! Christopher Plummer dead at 91: Our appreciation for the Oscar winner, ‘The Sound of Music,’ ‘Knives Out’ legend, Why ‘Schitt’s Creek’ likely won’t pull off another sweep at the Critics’ Choice Awards. Will 'Minari' cinematographer Lachlan Milne earn his first Oscar nom? The next-youngest actor nominated for the Oscar is a full 10 years older than Cooper. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is made up of around 7,000 filmmakers and film professionals, and these are the people that vote for the Oscars. Get the latest news about the 2020 Oscars, including nominations, winners, predictions and red carpet fashion at 92nd Academy Awards Oscar.com. Mickey Rooney was nominated at age 19 for his role in 1939’s Babes in Arms . In this case, she automatically becomes a nominee. Don’t miss the fun. So after the final list of nominations is announced, Rob Lowe gets to vote not only for Best Actor, but also for Best Costume Design, Best Short Film, and Best Cinematography. The Emmy is an industry peer-group award just like the Oscar and so it sometimes holds a lesson for film-award fans. Now we Oscar pundits must brutally ask ourselves a tough question: Is Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”) really a shoo-in to win Best Actor, as our Expects, Editors and Users overwhelmingly predict? His defeats: 1956 — Nominated for “Giant,” he lost Best Actor to Yul Brenner (“The King and I”). Did you se...", "I’m predicting two nominations but I don’t think he ...". Two precursor prizes — the Golden Globes and SAG Awards — announce their roster of nominees during the week of February 1. He's the creator and author of Collider's "How the MCU Was Made" series and has interviewed Bill Hader about every single episode of Barry. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. How accurate are Gold Derby's predictions? Well, it’s a complicated process involving lots of math, but here’s what you need to know. Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. — a win? This stack is then reassigned according to voters’ second-place selection—say Robert Pattinson received the fewest first place votes, so his stack is then counted according to the second place selections. No I don’t. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Ever wonder how the Academy chooses which films are nominated? 3. This year’s Nominations … 'Y: 1883' comes from series co-creator Taylor Sheridan and will dig into the history of the Dutton family. Of the 5 dead losers, one was clobbered TWICE after dying: James Dean. And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how Oscar nominees are chosen. This “magic number” is tabulated by taking the total number of ballots received in a given category and dividing it by the total number of possible nominees plus one. At recent Emmys, you would’ve lost your shekels if you’d bet them on two tempting posthumous nominees: Fred Willard (Best Comedy Guest Actor, “Modern Family,” 2020) or Carrie Fisher (Best Comedy Guest Actress, “Catastrophe,” 2017). Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. Even though I’ve been a professional awards journalist for more than 30 years, I often keep falling for an old, sentimental assumption. There have been seven posthumous nominees in the acting categories in Oscar history. The nomination ballots are initially sorted based on the voters’ first-place ranking. 1967 — Spencer Tracy (“Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner”) lost Best Actor to Rod Steiger (“In the Heat of the Night”). Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Download at the Apple or Google Play Stores to compete for best accuracy scores against our Experts, Editors and Users while predicting the Oscars, ”, ‘Dancing with the Stars,” “Big Brother” and all Hollywood races! How can voters fail to give their old pal one last hug? Do YOU? To compile a thorough tally of them all, I created a thread in our forums and invited all Derbyites to pipe in. Joel and Ethan ...", "Jamie Lee Curtis is the most interesting multi-decade(r), she’...", "tom92 wrote: 2015 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 17; 2018 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 10; Click the Three Word Movies 9; 2016 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 9; Tom Hanks Films by Criteria 8; Double-Letter Best Picture Winners 4; 2017 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 4; Best Picture & Nominee Match-Up 3; Oscar Nominees (2009) 2 See latest Oscar predictions by our top Experts, Join our fierce discussions right now in our famous forums. Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Sure, he could very well be this year’s Heath Ledger, who kept rising from the dead award show after award show until his Oscar resurrection was obviously inevitable. For this category, a voting member must submit a list of between five and 10 nominees; for every other category, a voting member submits a list of no more than five nominees. Alicia Vikander accepts the Oscar® for Performance by an actress in a supporting role, for her role in “The Danish Girl” BB-8, R2-D2, C-3PO at The … But how do these individual ballots turn into the final nominations? Oscar Experts Typing: Is Glenn Close closing in on a nomination and -- gasp! If a selection reaches enough first-place votes—sometimes called the “magic number”—it becomes a nominee. The buzziest winners and nominees and best red-carpet fashions are on full display for the 92nd annual Academy Awards on Sunday, Feb. 9, 2020. 'Your Honor' shocker: Golden Globes, not SAG Awards, nominate Bryan Cranston, Christopher Plummer dead at 91: Our appreciation for the Oscar winner, 'The Sound of Music,' 'Knives Out'…, "I think he has a good chance of winning BSA in David O. Russell&...", "Denzel Washington However, when it comes to the Best Picture category, everyone gets to vote. With the Oscar nominations for the 92d Academy Awards announced this morning, you may be wondering how, exactly, do these Oscar nominations work? PHOTO GALLERY: ‘Masked Singer’ reveals for all seasons, ‘Rupaul’s Drag Race’ Predictions: Episode 7, ‘Rupaul’s Drag Race’ Predictions: Episode 6, PHOTO GALLERY: ‘RuPaul’s Drag Race’ winners list. For this process, after the nominees have been chosen, everyone gets to vote on every category from the list of nominees chosen by that category’s experts. 1984 — Ralph Richardson (“Sixth Earl of Greystoke”) lost Best Supporting Actor to Haing S. Ngor (“The Killing Fields”). There’s a branch for actors, a branch for directors, a branch for editing and so on and so forth. When submitting a list of preferred nominees, Academy members rank them according to preference. Awards Circuit's Clayton Davis looks at possible first-time Oscar nominees who should have already been nominated at the Academy Awards. If a selection receives this magic number of votes (or more), it becomes a nominee. PREDICTthe 2021 Oscar nominations through March 15. Did you write the script? Each January, the entertainment community and film fans around the world turn their attention to the Academy Awards. Adam Chitwood is the Managing Editor for Collider. Watch our lively chats with 2021 Oscars contenders Sophia Loren (“The Life Ahead”) and Jared Leto (“The Little Things”) plus more, including …, © Copyright 2021 Gold Derby, a subsidiary of Penske Business Media, LLC. Emmylou Harris The ballots continue to be redistributed in this manner until the magic number is reached or until there are only five nominees remaining. The go-to source for comic book and superhero movie fans. So while the nomination process is shepherded by experts in every individual category, the final winners are chosen by the esteemed members of the entire Academy. The Globes will be handed out at the end of the month, six days before Oscar nominations commences. Check it out! Who decides who gets nominated? (In the nine years the Academy has used the system, meanwhile, it has produced eight nominees three times and nine nominees six times.) For example, only actors get to select nominees for the acting categories, and only directors get to select the nominees for Best Director. Wynton Marsalis Other than Ledger, the other champ was Peter Finch (“Network”), who dropped dead of a heart attack while he was Oscar and Golden Globe campaigning vigorously in the lobby of the Beverly Hills Hotel. For example, say the magic number is 333 and Saoirse Ronan received 337 Best Actress #1 votes. Could Chadwick Boseman theoretically win 2 Oscars this year? From here, once all the nominations ballots have been counted, new ballots are sent out to every Academy member. ... 2021 Academy Awards Predictions. Oscar Nominations 2020 Full List: 'Joker' Leads the Pack with 11 Nominations. The 92nd Academy Awards will be aired live on ABC on February 9th. 2021 SAG Awards expert predictions slugfest: Jared Leto scores again, ‘Mank’ scuffles, 2021 SAG Awards predictions slugfest: Editors rehash all the crazy snubs (Delroy Lindo) and pleasant surprises (‘Bridgerton’) [Video and audio podcast], WATCH OUR EXCLUSIVE ‘MEET THE BTL EXPERTS’ SERIES: Q&A chats with 80+ top contenders for crafts awards, WATCH 85 CHATS IN OUR SPECIAL ‘MEET THE BTL EXPERTS’ SERIES. 1928-29 — Jeanne Eagels (“The Letter”) lost Best Actress at the second Oscars to Mary Pickford (“Coquette”) at the second Oscar ceremony. This is where the math comes in. 68: Tom Holland Up for Willy Wonka, Ethan Hawke to Battle Moon Knight, Here’s What’s Leaving Netflix in February 2021, ‘The Courier’ Trailer Has Benedict Cumberbatch Smuggling Secrets in a Movie with Major Dad Movie Energy, Here's What's New on Hulu in February 2021. When scanning a list of nominees to make predictions and a dead body suddenly pops up – especially the ghost of someone who was beloved and respected across Hollywood – I’m tempted to pick that contender, thinking: Oh, come on! Join the Discussion in our Reality TV Forums, Watch our chats with top BTL awards contenders: costumes, music, docs, cinematography and …, Oscar Predictions slugfests: Experts, Gold Derby Editors & Users, Exclusive Q&As: 2021 Emmy, Globe, SAG TV contenders, Latest Oscar Best Actor predictions by 30 Experts, the 2021 Oscar nominations through March 15, Latest prediction odds on Oscar frontrunners. 2018 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 10; 2016 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 10; Tom Hanks Films by Criteria 8; 2019 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 8; 2017 Oscar Nominees Movie Posters 4; Best Picture & Nominee Match-Up … But there have been quite a few dead acting contenders who didn’t get their big Lazarus scene. He's been working for Collider for over a decade, and in addition to managing content also runs point on crafts interviews, awards coverage, and co-hosts The Collider Podcast with Matt Goldberg (which has been running since 2012). 'Yellowstone' Is Getting a Prequel Series - Watch the First Teaser, Oscar Nominations 2020 Full List: 'Joker' Leads the Pack with 11 Nominations, Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences, More Covering the hottest movie and TV topics that fans want. Well, after that first pass, the accountants of Pricewaterhouse Coopers (who are responsible for handling all this math mumbo jumbo) sort through the remaining ballots and remove the stack with the fewest votes.